American Axle Manufacturing Performance

02406PBA7   100.05  0.16  0.16%   
The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.34, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning American are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, American is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days American Axle Manufacturing has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, American is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
  

American Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,031  in American Axle Manufacturing on November 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (138.00) from holding American Axle Manufacturing or give up 1.38% of portfolio value over 90 days. American Axle Manufacturing is generating negative expected returns and assumes 0.2284% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 2% of bonds are less volatile than American, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon American is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 3.35 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

American Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 100.05 90 days 100.05 
about 40.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 40.97 (This American Axle Manufacturing probability density function shows the probability of American Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon American Axle Manufacturing has a beta of -0.34. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding American are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, American Axle Manufacturing is likely to outperform the market. Additionally American Axle Manufacturing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   American Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Axle Manufa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.82100.05100.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.7581.98110.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.2498.4798.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-37.3297.46104.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Axle Manufa.

American Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Axle Manufacturing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
1.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

American Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Axle Manufa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Axle Manufa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

About American Performance

By analyzing American's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into American's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if American has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if American has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
American Axle Manufa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in American Bond

American financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American security.